Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Smashing Into An Asteroid Shows Researchers How To Better Protect Earth

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"We were able to see Didymos and this little dot in the right spot where we expected Dimorphos to be," Rivkin recalled.

After the interview, Rivkin joined a crowd of scientists and guests to watch the mission's finale on several big screens: As part of an asteroid deflection mission called DART, a spacecraft was closing in on Dimorphos and photographing its rocky surface in increasing detail.

Within a few minutes, members of the mission team in Kenya and South Africa posted images from their telescopes, showing a bright plume of debris.

In the days that followed, researchers continued to observe the dust cloud and discovered it had morphed into a variety of shapes, including clumps, spirals, and two comet-like tails. They also calculated that the impact slowed Dimorphos' orbit by about a tenth of an inch per second, proof-of-concept that a spacecraft—also called a kinetic impactor—could target and deflect an asteroid far from Earth.

Ron Ballouz, a planetary scientist at the lab, commented that what is often seen in the movies is a "sort of last-ditch-effort, what we like to call a final-stage of planetary defense." But if hazardous objects can be detected years in advance, other techniques like a kinetic impactor can be used, he added.

If a deflection were necessary, scientists would need to change the speed of a hazardous object, such as an asteroid or comet, enough that it doesn't end up at the same place and time as Earth as they orbit the Sun. Rivkin said this translates into at least a seven-minute change in the arrival time: If a Dimorphos-sized object were predicted to collide with Earth 67 years from now, for instance, the slow-down that DART imparted would be just enough to add up to the seven minutes, he added.

With less lead time, researchers could use a combination of multiple deflections, larger spacecrafts, or boosts in speed, depending on the hazardous object. "DART was designed to validate a technique, and specific situations would inevitably require adapting things," said Rivkin.

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